×
Home Current Archive Editorial board
News Contact
Review paper

Mortality associated with seasonal changes in ambient temperature and humidity in Zenica-Doboj Canton

By
Suad Sivić Orcid logo
Suad Sivić
Contact Suad Sivić

Institute for Health and Food Safety Zenica , Zenica , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Abstract

Aim
To determine the relationship between seasonal changes in ambient temperature, humidity and general and specific mortality rates in the area of Zenica-Doboj Canton.
Methods
Changes in the average monthly mortality in the period from 2008 to 2019 were analysed (linear regression) in relation
to the average temperatures and humidity in those months in the same time period in Zenica-Doboj Canton.
Results
Overall mortality increased from 7.9 ‰ in 2008 to 10.2 ‰ in 2019. Overall and specific mortality rates for cardiovascular,
malignant, respiratory and metabolic diseases followed seasonal change of ambient temperature and humidity. The monitoring trend showed strong determination degree for overall mortality and mortality for cardiovascular, malignant and respiratory diseases, while for metabolic diseases it was somewhat lower. The highest mortality rates were found in January (cold month), and in August (warm month); the lowest one was in May, September and October. There was a strong significant negative correlation between temperature and mortality rates, while the correlation between humidity and mortality rates was not significant.
Conclusion
As we have proven that mortality rates followed seasonal changes in ambient temperature and determined months with the least mortality rate, the community must take measures to ensure microclimatic conditions for the survival of patients with
cardiovascular, malignant, respiratory and metabolic diseases.

References

1.
Quantitative Risk Assessment of the Effects of Climate Change on Selected Causes of Death. 2030;
2.
Kjellstrom T, Mcmichael A. Climate change threats to population health and well-being: the imperative of protective solutions that will last. Glob Health Action. 2013;20816.
3.
Gasparrini A, Guo Y, Sera F, Vicedo-Cabrera A, Huber V, Tong S, et al. Armstrong B. Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios. Lancet Planet Health. 2017;360-e367.
4.
Rossati A. Global warming and its health impact. Int J Occup Environ Med. 2017;720.
5.
Hanna E, Tait P. Limitations to thermoregulation and acclimatization challenge human adaptation to global warming. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2015;8034–74.
6.
Basu R, Malig B. High ambient temperature and mortality in California: exploring the roles of age, disease, and mortality displacement. Environ Res. 2011;1286–92.
7.
Mercer J. Cold--an underrated risk factor for health. Environ Res. 2003;8–13.
8.
Fowler T, Southgate R, Waite T, Harrell R, Kovats S, Bone A, et al. Excess winter deaths in Europe: a multi-country descriptive analysis. Eur J Public Health. 2015;339–45.
9.
Chen X, Li N, Liu J, Zhang Z, Liu Y. Global heat wave hazard considering humidity effects during the 21st century. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019;1513.
10.
Wehner M, Castillo F, Stone D. The impact of moisture and temperature on human health in heat waves. Natural Hazard Science. 2017;
11.
Vogel M, Zscheischler J, Wartenburger R, Dee D, Seneviratne S. Concurrent 2018 hot extremes across northern hemisphere due to human-induced climate change. Earths Future. 2019;692–703.
12.
Federalni Z, Klima Bosne I Hercegovine. Federal Meterological Institute of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Climate monitoring). 2AD;
13.
Zolotarev K, Belyaeva N, Mikhailov A. Mikhailova MV. Dependence between LD50 for rodents and LC50 for adult fish and fish embryos. Bull Exp Biol Med. 2017;445–50.
14.
Curtiss J, Grahn D. Population characteristics and environmental factors that influence level and cause of mortality. A review. J Environ Pathol Toxicol. 1980;471–511.
15.
Bunker A, Wildenhain J, Vandenbergh A, Henschke N, Rocklöv J, Hajat S, et al. Effects of air temperature on climate-sensitive mortality and morbidity outcomes in the elderly; a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological evidence. Ebi-oMedicine. 2016;258–68.
16.
Stewart S, Keates A, Redfern A, Mcmurray J. Seasonal variations in cardiovascular disease. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2017;654–64.
17.
Yang L, Chang Y, Hsieh T, Hou W, Li C. Associations of ambient temperature with mortality rates of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in Taiwan: a subtropical country. Acta Cardiol Sin. 2018;166–74.
18.
Douglas A, Sayer H, Rawles J, Allan T. Seasonality of disease in Kuwait. Lancet. 1991;1393–7.
19.
Nakaji S, Parodi S, Fontana V, Umeda T, Suzuki K, Sakamoto J, et al. Seasonal changes in mortality rates from main causes of death in Japan (1970--1999). Eur J Epidemiol. 2004;905–13.

Citation

Authors retain copyright. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Creative Commons License

 

Article metrics

Google scholar: See link

The statements, opinions and data contained in the journal are solely those of the individual authors and contributors and not of the publisher and the editor(s). We stay neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.