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Original article

Predictive value of admission biomarkers for mortality and rehospitalization in hypertensive crisis

By
Emir Bećirović Orcid logo ,
Emir Bećirović
Contact Emir Bećirović

Internal Medicine Clinic, University Clinical Centre Tuzla , Tuzla , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Minela Bećirović Orcid logo ,
Minela Bećirović

Internal Medicine Clinic, University Clinical Centre Tuzla , Tuzla , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Amir Bećirović Orcid logo ,
Amir Bećirović

Internal Medicine Clinic, University Clinical Centre Tuzla , Tuzla , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Amina Džidić Krivić Orcid logo ,
Amina Džidić Krivić

Department of Neurology, Cantonal Hospital Zenica , Zenica

Armin Šljivo Orcid logo ,
Armin Šljivo

Department of Cardiology, University Clinical Center Sarajevo , Sarajevo , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Kenana Ljuca Orcid logo ,
Kenana Ljuca

Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, University Clinical Centre Ljubljana , Ljubljana , Slovenia

Lemana Buljubašić Orcid logo ,
Lemana Buljubašić

University of Tuzla, School of Medicine , Tuzla , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Nadina Ljuca Orcid logo ,
Nadina Ljuca

School of Medicine, University of Tuzla , Tuzla , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Admir Abdić Orcid logo ,
Admir Abdić

Department of Surgery, Cantonal Hospital Bihać , Bihać , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Emir Begagić Orcid logo
Emir Begagić

Department of Neurosurgery, Cantonal Hospital Zenica, University of Zenica , Zenica , Bosnia and Herzegovina

Editor: SELMA UZUNOVIĆ

Abstract

Aim To identify predictors of all-cause mortality and 6-month rehospitalisation in patients with hypertensive crisis, focusing on inflammatory indices, metabolic markers measured at admission, and antihypertensive treatment profiles.

Methods This prospective observational study included 210 adult patients with hypertensive crisis. Demographic, clinical, and therapeutic data were collected, including data on comorbidities, antihypertensive drug use, and treatment adherence. Laboratory parameters obtained at admission included neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV), homocysteine, and uric acid. Patients were followed for 12 months. Multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were conducted to identify independent predictors.

Results Mortality occurred in 10.9% of patients, and 27.1% were rehospitalised within 6 months. Deceased patients exhibited significantly higher levels of PLR (p=0.0329), SII (p=0.0355), homocysteine (p=0.0488), and uric acid (p=0.021). In multivariate analysis, homocysteine (OR=3.55; p<0.001), uric acid (OR=1.03; p=0.007), PLR (OR=1.04; p=0.047), and SII (OR=1.01; p=0.030) remained independently associated with mortality. Chronic kidney disease (OR=2.15, p=0.012) and poor treatment adherence (OR=1.92; p=0.017) were also significant predictors. ROC analysis demonstrated moderate discriminative power, with AUC values of 0.68 for PLR, 0.66 for SII, 0.65 for homocysteine, and 0.63 for uric acid.

Conclusion Elevated inflammatory indices and metabolic markers, particularly homocysteine and uric acid, were independently associated with increased mortality risk. Additionally, chronic kidney disease and suboptimal adherence to antihypertensive therapy significantly contributed to adverse outcomes. These findings underscore the importance of comprehensive risk assessment and personalised management in this high-risk population.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, E.B., M.B., A.B. and A.Š.; Data curation, E.B., M.B., A.Š., K.L., N.L., A.A. and E.B.; Formal Analysis, E.B., M.B., A.D.K., K.L., N.L., A.A. and E.B.; Funding acquisition, E.B., M.B., A.B., A.D.K., A.Š. and A.A.; Investigation, E.B., M.B., A.B., A.D.K., K.L., L.B., N.L. and A.A.; Methodology, E.B., M.B., A.B., A.D.K., A.Š., K.L., L.B. and E.B.; Project administration, E.B., M.B., A.B., A.D.K., A.Š., K.L., L.B. and N.L.; Resources, E.B., M.B., A.B., K.L., L.B. and E.B.; Software, E.B., M.B., A.D.K., K.L., N.L. and E.B.; Supervision, E.B., M.B., A.B., A.D.K. and L.B.; Validation, E.B., M.B., A.B. and A.Š.; Visualization, E.B., M.B., A.D.K., N.L. and E.B.; Writing – original draft, E.B., M.B. and A.B.; Writing – review & editing, E.B., M.B., A.B., A.Š., N.L., A.A. and E.B. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Citation

Data Availability

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. Due to patient confidentiality and institutional regulations, access to raw data may be limited.

Funding Statement

No specific funding was received for this study.

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